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CA-03: A Tulchin Research poll (July 8-10; 400 LVs; +/-4.9%) conducted internally for Nevada County Supervisor Heidi Hall (D) found Hall and Rep. Kevin Kiley (R) in a statistical tie. Kiley led Hall within the margin of error, 47%-45%, with 8% undecided. Kiley’s favorability ratings were split down the middle: 45% favorable and 45% unfavorable. 10% didn’t know. Kiley won by 11 points last year and no poll at any point showed a statistical tie, a source familiar told Hotline. Trump won this district by about 4 points. (Hotline reporting)

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